Copa Paulista · Sep 27, 2025 21:00
XV de Piracicaba
PWR 67
Comercial
PWR 52
XV de Piracicaba
PWR 67
1 - 0
FT
Comercial
PWR 52
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: XV de Piracicaba to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
44Attack41
88Defense69
Goals/G
1.31.2
Conc/G
0.30.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
XV de Piracica…
DWWWL
STABLE
Comercial
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
XV de Piracica…vs
0.20
ComercialGoal Probability
XV de Pirac…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Comercial
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
XV de Pirac…+5
Gap#6
Comercial
WR 69% 75 pts
WR 44% 29 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XV de Piracic… | 32 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 75 |
| Comercial | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 29 |
XV de Piracica…
14.0%
| Sep 19 | XV de P… v Comerci… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | XV de P… v Oeste | 2-0 |
| Sep 06 | XV de P… v Oeste | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | XV de P… v AEA | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | XV de P… v AEA | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | XV de P… v Paulist… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | XV de P… v Primave… | 0-2 |
| Aug 01 | XV de P… v GuaranĂ… | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | XV de P… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Jul 18 | XV de P… v São Ber… | 2-1 |
Comercial
14.0%
| Sep 19 | Comerci… v XV de P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Comerci… v São Jos… | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | Comerci… v São Jos… | 1-0 |
| Sep 02 | Comerci… v Inter D… | 1-0 |
| Aug 26 | Comerci… v Inter D… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Comerci… v União S… | 1-0 |
| Aug 11 | Comerci… v Inter D… | 2-2 |
| Aug 06 | Comerci… v Botafogo | 0-2 |
| Jul 26 | Comerci… v Jataien… | 4-2 |
| Jul 19 | Comerci… v Maracan… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 19, 2025 | Comercial | 1-1 | XV de Piracic… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
XV de Piracicaba in strong form (3W in last 5)
Comercial in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.