Copa Paulista · Sep 28, 2025 18:00
Primavera SP
PWR 59
Primavera SP
PWR 59
2 - 1
FT
Grêmio Prudente
PWR 52
PWR 52
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Primavera SP to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (21%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
50Attack49
72Defense65
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
0.81.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Primavera SP
LWWWL
STABLE
Grêmio Prudente
WWDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth team excluded: Primavera
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Primavera SPvs
0.24
Grêmio PrudenteGoal Probability
Primavera SP
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Grêmio Prud…
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Primavera SP+1
Gap#4
Grêmio Prud…
WR 53% 35 pts
WR 40% 33 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primavera SP | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
| Grêmio Pruden… | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 33 |
Primavera SP
12.0%
| Sep 20 | Primave… v Grêmio … | 1-0 |
| Sep 12 | Primave… v União S… | 0-2 |
| Sep 08 | Primave… v União S… | 4-0 |
| Aug 31 | Primave… v Paulist… | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Primave… v Paulist… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Primave… v São Ber… | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Primave… v XV de P… | 0-2 |
| Aug 03 | Primave… v Paulist… | 2-0 |
| Jul 28 | Primave… v GuaranÃ… | 0-3 |
| Jul 20 | Primave… v Rio Bra… | 1-0 |
Grêmio Prudente
16.0%
| Sep 20 | Grêmio … v Primave… | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Grêmio … v Maracan… | 3-0 |
| Sep 07 | Grêmio … v Maracan… | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | Grêmio … v São Cae… | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Grêmio … v São Cae… | 0-0 |
| Aug 16 | Grêmio … v Flumine… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Grêmio … v AEA | 1-1 |
| Jul 26 | Grêmio … v Oeste | 2-0 |
| Jul 16 | Grêmio … v Monte A… | 1-1 |
| Jul 12 | Grêmio … v Flumine… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Grêmio Pruden… | 1-0 | Primavera SP |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Primavera SP in strong form (3W in last 5)
Grêmio Prudente in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.