League One · Mar 10, 2026 19:45

Burnley
PWR 25

Cardiff
PWR 35

Burnley
PWR 25
1 - 1
FT

Cardiff
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-3 (5%)1-3 (5%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.01x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.45x
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 77%
Over 3.5
55%
Team Comparison
31Attack0
41Defense100
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
2.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Burnley
DWLDL
STABLE
Cardiff
LWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Burnleyvs
2.20
CardiffGoal Probability
Burnley
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Cardiff
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Burnley+23
Gap#30
Cardiff
WR 36% 145 pts
WR 64% 47 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 110 | 39 | 28 | 43 | 169 | 182 | 145 |
| Cardiff | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 47 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Everton | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Oldham | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Wycombe | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Leyton … | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Accring… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Burnley v Brentfo… | 3-4 |
| Feb 21 | Burnley v Hudders… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Burnley v Chelsea | 1-1 |
Cardiff
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Cardiff v Lincoln | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Cardiff v Doncast… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Cardiff v Plymouth | 5-2 |
| Feb 17 | Cardiff v AFC Wim… | 4-1 |
| Feb 14 | Cardiff v Bolton | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Cardiff v Rotherh… | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Cardiff v Brighto… | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Cardiff v Burnley | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Cardiff v Stockpo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Cardiff v Brentfo… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 27, 2026 | Cardiff | 4-0 | Burnley |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Burnley | 1-2 | Cardiff |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Cardiff | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Burnley | 5-0 | Cardiff |
| May 08, 2023 | Burnley | 3-0 | Cardiff |
| Oct 01, 2022 | Cardiff | 1-1 | Burnley |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cardiff in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.