Copa do Nordeste · Sep 06, 2025 20:30
Bastia
PWR 28
Confiança
PWR 21
Bastia
PWR 28
5 - 0
FT
Confiança
PWR 21
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.2/g, expected 3.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bastia Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (16%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 5-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
17Attack18
64Defense21
Goals/G
0.60.5
Conc/G
1.22.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bastia
WLLWW
STABLE
Confiança
LLWWW
DOWN
Key Players
Bastia
Jeremy Sebas
3G
Felix Tomi
2G1A
Amine Boutrah
1G
Dominique Guidi
1G
Tom Ducrocq
1G
Confiança
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Bastiavs
0.59
ConfiançaGoal Probability
Bastia
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Confiança
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Bastia+11
Gap#12
Confiança
WR 62% 24 pts
WR 25% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 24 |
| Confiança | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
Bastia
12.0%
| Sep 04 | Bastia v Confian… | 1-4 |
| Aug 31 | Bastia v Mirassol | 5-1 |
| Aug 30 | Bastia v Guingamp | 1-3 |
| Aug 28 | Bastia v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Bastia v Santos | 2-0 |
| Aug 22 | Bastia v Lens | 1-0 |
| Aug 21 | Bastia v Ceará | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Bastia v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Bastia v Pau FC | 1-1 |
| Aug 12 | Bastia v Cuiaba … | 2-1 |
Confiança
12.0%
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Bastia | 1-4 |
| Aug 31 | Confian… v Serrano… | 2-3 |
| Aug 30 | Confian… v Retrô F… | 1-0 |
| Aug 28 | Confian… v Spartax | 4-2 |
| Aug 25 | Confian… v GuaranĂ… | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Confian… v São Pau… | 0-0 |
| Aug 21 | Confian… v CSA | 0-1 |
| Aug 17 | Confian… v Floresta | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Confian… v Ituano | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 04, 2025 | Confiança | 1-4 | Bastia |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bastia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.