Carioca SĂ©rie C · Sep 04, 2025 17:45
Santa Cruz RN
PWR 56
Paraty
PWR 58
PWR 58
1 - 0
FT
Santa Cruz RN
PWR 56
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (62% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
62%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
62Attack79
65Defense39
Goals/G
1.82.3
Conc/G
1.01.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Paraty
LLDDW
DOWN
Santa Cruz RN
WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Paratyvs
0.84
Santa Cruz RNGoal Probability
Paraty
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Santa Cruz …
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Paraty+1
Gap#2
Santa Cruz …
WR 44% 15 pts
WR 50% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraty | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| Santa Cruz RN | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 14 |
Paraty
8.0%
| Sep 03 | Paraty v Araucár… | 3-2 |
| Aug 31 | Paraty v Santa C… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Paraty v Uniao C… | 0-0 |
| Aug 24 | Paraty v Uniao C… | 2-2 |
| Aug 04 | Paraty v Duque d… | 0-1 |
| Jul 27 | Paraty v EC Rese… | 4-1 |
| Jul 23 | Paraty v Uniao C… | 0-4 |
| Jul 03 | Paraty v Santa C… | 3-3 |
| Jun 09 | Paraty v Santa C… | 1-0 |
Santa Cruz RN
14.0%
| Aug 31 | Santa C… v Paraty | 2-1 |
| Aug 30 | Santa C… v América… | 1-0 |
| Aug 28 | Santa C… v Rioverd… | 6-2 |
| Aug 24 | Santa C… v Santos | 0-0 |
| Aug 24 | Santa C… v Rioverd… | 1-3 |
| Aug 18 | Santa C… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Santa C… v Vera Cr… | 1-1 |
| Jul 20 | Santa C… v Rioverd… | 4-3 |
| Jul 03 | Santa C… v Paraty | 3-3 |
| Apr 05 | Santa C… v ABC | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Santa Cruz RN | 2-1 | Paraty |
| Jul 03, 2025 | Paraty | 3-3 | Santa Cruz RN |
| Jun 09, 2024 | Santa Cruz RN | 1-0 | Paraty |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Santa Cruz RN in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.