Copa Rio · Sep 03, 2025 19:00
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 46
Maringá
PWR 56
PWR 56
0 - 2
FT
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 46
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Maringá Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
56Attack39
69Defense69
Goals/G
1.61.1
Conc/G
0.90.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maringá
WWDWW
STABLE
Portuguesa RJ
DDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Maringávs
0.97
Portuguesa RJGoal Probability
Maringá
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Portuguesa …
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Maringá+1
Gap#2
Portuguesa …
WR 40% 17 pts
WR 25% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maringá | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| Portuguesa RJ | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
Maringá
18.0%
| Aug 30 | Maringá v Caxias | 3-0 |
| Aug 27 | Maringá v Madurei… | 1-2 |
| Aug 24 | Maringá v AO Itab… | 2-2 |
| Aug 20 | Maringá v Madurei… | 4-0 |
| Aug 16 | Maringá v Retrô F… | 1-0 |
| Aug 13 | Maringá v Petrópo… | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Maringá v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Aug 09 | Maringá v Apareci… | 2-2 |
| Aug 03 | Maringá v Floresta | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Maringá v Apareci… | 1-2 |
Portuguesa RJ
10.0%
| Aug 30 | Portugu… v Bangu | 0-0 |
| Aug 27 | Portugu… v Bangu | 0-0 |
| Aug 13 | Portugu… v EC Rese… | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Portugu… v Rayo Zu… | 1-2 |
| Jul 30 | Portugu… v EC Rese… | 2-3 |
| Mar 22 | Portugu… v Operári… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | Portugu… v Operári… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Portugu… v Operári… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | Portugu… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Portugu… v Oeste | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 16, 2025 | Portuguesa RJ | 3-1 | Maringá |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Portuguesa RJ | 1-2 | Maringá |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Maringá | 2-2 | Portuguesa RJ |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Maringá in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.