Derde Divisie - Sunday · Oct 18, 2025 16:00
Gemert
PWR 52
Zwaluwen
PWR 37
Gemert
PWR 52
1 - 0
FT
Zwaluwen
PWR 37
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Gemert Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (5%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
18%
Under 2.5
82%
82%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
56Attack39
58Defense51
Goals/G
1.61.1
Conc/G
1.21.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gemert
DWWWD
STABLE
Zwaluwen
DDWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Gemertvs
0.68
ZwaluwenGoal Probability
Gemert
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Zwaluwen
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Gemert+8
Gap#14
Zwaluwen
WR 40% 16 pts
WR 20% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemert | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
| Zwaluwen | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
Gemert
16.0%
| Oct 11 | Gemert v FC OSS | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Gemert v SVV Sch… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Gemert v Blauw G… | 1-2 |
| Sep 23 | Gemert v Meersse… | 0-1 |
| Sep 20 | Gemert v Roosend… | 2-2 |
| Sep 13 | Gemert v ASWH | 1-3 |
| Sep 07 | Gemert v UNA | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Gemert v TOGB | 3-3 |
| Aug 24 | Gemert v Rijnvog… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | Gemert v Kloetin… | 2-1 |
Zwaluwen
10.0%
| Oct 11 | Zwaluwen v SVV Sch… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Zwaluwen v Roosend… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Zwaluwen v UNA | 4-2 |
| Sep 20 | Zwaluwen v Rijnvog… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Zwaluwen v GOES | 0-2 |
| Sep 06 | Zwaluwen v Vvsb | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | Zwaluwen v Meersse… | 2-3 |
| Aug 23 | Zwaluwen v UDI '19 | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Zwaluwen v FC OSS | 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | Zwaluwen v Katwijk | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Gemert in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.