Derde Divisie - Saturday · Oct 18, 2025 13:30
Heracles
PWR 49
SC Genemuiden
PWR 45
Heracles
PWR 49
2 - 0
FT
SC Genemuiden
PWR 45
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 1.8/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 3.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
SC Genemuiden Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
63Attack50
40Defense47
Goals/G
1.81.4
Conc/G
1.71.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Heracles
LLLWL
DOWN
SC Genemuiden
LWDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Heraclesvs
0.88
SC GenemuidenGoal Probability
Heracles
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
SC Genemuidā¦
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Heracles+2
Gap#7
SC Genemuidā¦
WR 43% 29 pts
WR 37% 27 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 29 |
| SC Genemuiden | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 29 | 27 |
Heracles
4.0%
| Oct 11 | Heracles v Huizen | 5-0 |
| Oct 05 | Heracles v FC Twenā¦ | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Heracles v Sparta ā¦ | 5-0 |
| Sep 27 | Heracles v Sparta ā¦ | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Heracles v NAC Breā¦ | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Heracles v DVS 33 ā¦ | 0-2 |
| Sep 14 | Heracles v Hoogeveā¦ | 2-2 |
| Sep 14 | Heracles v AZ Alkmā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Heracles v Dovo | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | Heracles v VV Scheā¦ | 1-0 |
SC Genemuiden
10.0%
| Oct 11 | SC Geneā¦ v ROHDA Rā¦ | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | SC Geneā¦ v Hsc 21 | 3-2 |
| Sep 24 | SC Geneā¦ v Groene ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | SC Geneā¦ v ADO '20 | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | SC Geneā¦ v Sportluā¦ | 3-1 |
| Sep 06 | SC Geneā¦ v Huizen | 3-3 |
| Aug 30 | SC Geneā¦ v Eemdijk | 2-3 |
| Aug 23 | SC Geneā¦ v Sparta ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Aug 16 | SC Geneā¦ v DVS 33 ā¦ | 1-1 |
| May 24 | SC Geneā¦ v Ajax Amā¦ | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 18, 2024 | SC Genemuiden | 2-1 | Heracles |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Heracles struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.