Copa do Nordeste · Aug 21, 2025 00:30
Bastia
PWR 28
Ceará
PWR 47
Bastia
PWR 28
1 - 0
FT
Ceará
PWR 47
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bastia Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)3-0 (4%)2-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
17Attack26
64Defense65
Goals/G
0.60.8
Conc/G
1.21.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bastia
WDLDL
STABLE
Ceará
WLDWL
STABLE
Key Players
Bastia
Jeremy Sebas
3G
Felix Tomi
2G1A
Amine Boutrah
1G
Dominique Guidi
1G
Tom Ducrocq
1G
Ceará
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.01
Bastiavs
1.47
CearáGoal Probability
Bastia
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Ceará
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (23%)0-2 (18%)0-0 (15%)0-3 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Bastia+4
Gap#5
Ceará
WR 62% 24 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 24 |
| Ceará | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Bastia
8.0%
| Aug 17 | Bastia v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Bastia v Pau FC | 1-1 |
| Aug 12 | Bastia v Cuiaba … | 2-1 |
| Aug 10 | Bastia v Flumine… | 3-3 |
| Aug 06 | Bastia v RB Brag… | 1-4 |
| Aug 06 | Bastia v Retrô F… | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | Bastia v Sport R… | 0-0 |
| Jul 30 | Bastia v Retrô F… | 3-2 |
| Jul 29 | Bastia v Remo | 3-0 |
| Jul 27 | Bastia v Juventu… | 3-0 |
Ceará
10.0%
| Aug 16 | Ceará v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | Ceará v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Aug 03 | Ceará v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Jul 27 | Ceará v Cruzeiro | 1-2 |
| Jul 23 | Ceará v Mirassol | 0-2 |
| Jul 20 | Ceará v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Jul 16 | Ceará v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Jul 13 | Ceará v Fortale… | 0-1 |
| Jun 04 | Ceará v Botafogo | 3-2 |
| Jun 01 | Ceará v Atletic… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 21, 2025 | Bastia | 1-0 | Ceará |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.