Community Shield · Aug 10, 2025 14:00
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
Liverpool
PWR 38
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
2 - 2
FT
Liverpool
PWR 38
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 4.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Crystal Palace Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (2%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
31Attack49
64Defense59
Goals/G
1.01.6
Conc/G
1.21.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Crystal Palace
DWWWD
STABLE
Liverpool
DLDLW
STABLE
Key Players
Crystal Palace
Jean-Philippe M…
7G
IsmaĂŻla Sarr
4G1A
YĂ©remy Pino
3G2A
Daniel Muñoz
3G1A
Marc Guéhi
2G2A
Liverpool
Hugo Ekitiké
8G1A
Florian Wirtz
4G2A
Mohamed Salah
3G3A
Cody Gakpo
4G1A
Ryan Gravenberch
3G2A
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.05
Crystal Palacevs
0.57
LiverpoolGoal Probability
Crystal Pal…
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Liverpool
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-3 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Crystal Pal…-1
Gap#1
Liverpool
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Liverpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Crystal Palace
16.0%
| May 25 | Crystal… v Liverpo… | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Crystal… v Wolverh… | 4-2 |
| May 17 | Crystal… v Manches… | 1-0 |
| May 11 | Crystal… v Tottenh… | 0-2 |
| May 05 | Crystal… v Notting… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Crystal… v Aston V… | 3-0 |
| Apr 23 | Crystal… v Arsenal | 2-2 |
| Apr 19 | Crystal… v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Apr 16 | Crystal… v Newcast… | 5-0 |
| Apr 12 | Crystal… v Manches… | 5-2 |
Liverpool
8.0%
| May 25 | Liverpo… v Crystal… | 1-1 |
| May 19 | Liverpo… v Brighto… | 3-2 |
| May 11 | Liverpo… v Arsenal | 2-2 |
| May 04 | Liverpo… v Chelsea | 3-1 |
| Apr 27 | Liverpo… v Tottenh… | 5-1 |
| Apr 20 | Liverpo… v Leicest… | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | Liverpo… v West Br… | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Liverpo… v Fulham | 3-2 |
| Apr 02 | Liverpo… v Everton | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Liverpo… v Newcast… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 25, 2025 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Crystal Palace |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Crystal Palace | 0-1 | Liverpool |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Liverpool | 0-1 | Crystal Palace |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Crystal Palace | 1-2 | Liverpool |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Crystal Palace in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.