Paraibano 2 · Sep 29, 2025 23:00
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 71
Guarabira
PWR 54
PWR 54
2 - 2
FT
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 71
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
64Attack90
53Defense61
Goals/G
1.82.6
Conc/G
1.31.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guarabira
WLDWD
STABLE
Atlético Alago…
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Guarabiravs
0.70
Atlético Alago…Goal Probability
Guarabira
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Atlético Al…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Guarabira-1
Gap#1
Atlético Al…
WR 42% 20 pts
WR 63% 33 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarabira | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 20 |
| Atlético Alag… | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 18 | 33 |
Guarabira
12.0%
| Sep 25 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Guarabi… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Guarabi… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Guarabi… v Sabugy | 2-0 |
| Sep 11 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Guarabi… v Serrano… | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Guarabi… v Spartax | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guarabi… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-3 |
| Aug 24 | Guarabi… v Queimad… | 1-2 |
Atlético Alago…
16.0%
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v América… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v São Pau… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Atlétic… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Atlétic… v Miramar | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Frei Pa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v Queimad… | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Atlétic… v Serrano… | 3-3 |
| Sep 07 | Atlétic… v Cruzeiro | 3-0 |
| Sep 04 | Atlétic… v Confian… | 0-1 |
| Sep 01 | Atlétic… v Spartax | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 28, 2025 | Atlético Alag… | 2-3 | Guarabira |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atlético Alagoinhas in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.