Capixaba B · Sep 28, 2025 18:00
Fortaleza
PWR 84
Estrela do Norte
PWR 58
Fortaleza
PWR 84
2 - 1
FT
Estrela do Norte
PWR 58
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
PRO: Fortaleza to win (65% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
65%
TierPRO
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (17%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
77Attack60
93Defense70
Goals/G
2.21.7
Conc/G
0.20.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fortaleza
WWLDW
STABLE
Estrela do Nor…
WLWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Capixaba
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Fortalezavs
0.83
Estrela do Nor…Goal Probability
Fortaleza
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Estrela do …
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Fortaleza+2
Gap#10
Estrela do …
WR 80% 13 pts
WR 43% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| Estrela do No… | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
Fortaleza
14.0%
| Sep 27 | Fortale… v Sport R… | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 5-0 |
| Sep 21 | Fortale… v Palmeir… | 4-1 |
| Sep 20 | Fortale… v Linhares | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortale… v GEL | 7-0 |
| Sep 13 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
| Sep 03 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Fortale… v Interna… | 2-1 |
| Aug 27 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Aug 24 | Fortale… v Mirassol | 0-1 |
Estrela do Nor…
12.0%
| Sep 20 | Estrela… v GEL | 0-5 |
| Sep 15 | Estrela… v Pinheir… | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | Estrela… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | Estrela… v Desport… | 4-0 |
| Aug 11 | Estrela… v Linhares | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
Estrela do Norte in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.