Capixaba B · Oct 04, 2025 19:30
Estrela do Norte
PWR 58
Fortaleza
PWR 84
Estrela do Norte
PWR 58
0 - 1
FT
Fortaleza
PWR 84
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (59% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
59%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
60Attack77
70Defense93
Goals/G
1.72.2
Conc/G
0.90.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Estrela do Nor…
LWLWW
STABLE
Fortaleza
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Capixaba
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Estrela do Nor…vs
0.20
FortalezaGoal Probability
Estrela do …
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Fortaleza
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Estrela do …-2
Gap#8
Fortaleza
WR 43% 9 pts
WR 80% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do No… | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| Fortaleza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
Estrela do Nor…
12.0%
| Sep 28 | Estrela… v Fortale… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Estrela… v GEL | 0-5 |
| Sep 15 | Estrela… v Pinheir… | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | Estrela… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | Estrela… v Desport… | 4-0 |
| Aug 11 | Estrela… v Linhares | 0-1 |
Fortaleza
12.0%
| Oct 02 | Fortale… v São Pau… | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Fortale… v Sport R… | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 5-0 |
| Sep 21 | Fortale… v Palmeir… | 4-1 |
| Sep 20 | Fortale… v Linhares | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortale… v GEL | 7-0 |
| Sep 13 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
| Sep 03 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Fortale… v Interna… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fortaleza | 2-1 | Estrela do No… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Estrela do Norte in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.