Alagoano - 2 · Oct 12, 2025 19:00

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
PWR 65
2 - 1
FT
Guaraní Alagoano
PWR 70
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
60Attack64
71Defense80
Goals/G
1.71.8
Conc/G
0.80.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cruzeiro Arapi… WDWLW
STABLE
Guaraní Alagoa… DWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Cruzeiro Arapi…
vs
1.16
Guaraní Alagoa…
Goal Probability
Cruzeiro Ar…
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Guaraní Ala…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (13%)0-3 (11%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-3 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 82% 18% OVER
2.5 61% 39% -
3.5 39% 61% -
4.5 21% 79% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
League Position
#2
Cruzeiro Ar…
-1
Gap
#1
Guaraní Ala…
WR 64% 24 pts WR 67% 27 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Cruzeiro Arap…1173119924
Guaraní Alago…1283122727
Cruzeiro Arapi… 14.0%
Oct 06 Cruzeir… v Dimensã… 3-1
Sep 27 Cruzeir… v Dimensã… 1-1
Sep 21 Cruzeir… v Agrimaq 2-1
Sep 17 Cruzeir… v Guaraní… 1-0
Sep 07 Cruzeir… v Figueir… 2-0
Aug 30 Cruzeir… v Dimensã… 0-1
Aug 24 Cruzeir… v Aliança… 3-0
Aug 17 Cruzeir… v Jacyobá 3-2
Aug 13 Cruzeir… v Zumbi 0-0
Mar 13 Cruzeir… v CSA 2-0
Guaraní Alagoa… 18.0%
Oct 04 Guaraní… v Agrimaq 1-1
Sep 27 Guaraní… v Agrimaq 0-2
Sep 21 Guaraní… v Figueir… 1-4
Sep 17 Guaraní… v Cruzeir… 1-0
Sep 07 Guaraní… v Jacyobá 1-2
Aug 30 Guaraní… v Zumbi 2-0
Aug 23 Guaraní… v Agrimaq 0-3
Aug 17 Guaraní… v Aliança… 1-0
Aug 13 Guaraní… v Dimensã… 3-0
Mar 12 Guaraní… v Coruripe 1-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 17, 2025 Guaraní Alago… 1-0 Cruzeiro Arap…
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cruzeiro Arapiraca in strong form (3W in last 5)
Guaraní Alagoano in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.