Carioca B2 · Nov 09, 2025 18:00
SE Belford Roxo
PWR 72
PWR 72
2 - 0
FT
Serra Macaense
PWR 49
PWR 49
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: SE Belford Roxo to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (2%)1-0 (2%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
74Attack39
78Defense69
Goals/G
2.11.1
Conc/G
0.60.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
SE Belford Roxo
DWDLW
STABLE
Serra Macaense
WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
SE Belford Roxovs
0.81
Serra MacaenseGoal Probability
SE Belford …
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Serra Macae…
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)1-0 (12%)4-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
SE Belford …+2
Gap#4
Serra Macae…
WR 63% 17 pts
WR 38% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE Belford Ro… | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
| Serra Macaense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
SE Belford Roxo
12.0%
| Nov 02 | SE Belf… v Macapá | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | SE Belf… v Rio de … | 4-0 |
| Oct 19 | SE Belf… v Goytacaz | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | SE Belf… v Santa C… | 2-3 |
| Oct 06 | SE Belf… v Paraty | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | SE Belf… v Barra M… | 4-1 |
| Sep 21 | SE Belf… v 7 de Ab… | 0-3 |
Serra Macaense
16.0%
| Nov 06 | Serra M… v Macapá | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Serra M… v Rio de … | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Serra M… v Goytacaz | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Serra M… v Santa C… | 0-0 |
| Oct 12 | Serra M… v Paraty | 2-2 |
| Oct 11 | Serra M… v Boston … | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Serra M… v Coimbra | 6-1 |
| Oct 05 | Serra M… v Barra M… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Serra M… v 7 de Ab… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Serra M… v Tupi | 2-2 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Serra Macaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.