Alagoano - 2 · Oct 18, 2025 19:00
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
PWR 65
Guaranà Alagoano
PWR 70
PWR 70
2 - 2
FT
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
PWR 65
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Guaranà Alagoano to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
64Attack60
80Defense71
Goals/G
1.81.7
Conc/G
0.60.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guaranà Alagoa…
LDWWW
STABLE
Cruzeiro Arapi…
WWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Guaranà Alagoa…vs
0.20
Cruzeiro Arapi…Goal Probability
Guaranà Ala…
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Cruzeiro Ar…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)4-0 (11%)1-0 (7%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Guaranà Ala…+1
Gap#2
Cruzeiro Ar…
WR 67% 27 pts
WR 64% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaranà Alago… | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| Cruzeiro Arap… | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
Guaranà Alagoa…
14.0%
| Oct 12 | GuaranÃ… v Cruzeir… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | GuaranÃ… v Agrimaq | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | GuaranÃ… v Agrimaq | 0-2 |
| Sep 21 | GuaranÃ… v Figueir… | 1-4 |
| Sep 17 | GuaranÃ… v Cruzeir… | 1-0 |
| Sep 07 | GuaranÃ… v Jacyobá | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | GuaranÃ… v Zumbi | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | GuaranÃ… v Agrimaq | 0-3 |
| Aug 17 | GuaranÃ… v Aliança… | 1-0 |
| Aug 13 | GuaranÃ… v Dimensã… | 3-0 |
Cruzeiro Arapi…
14.0%
| Oct 12 | Cruzeir… v GuaranÃ… | 2-1 |
| Oct 06 | Cruzeir… v Dimensã… | 3-1 |
| Sep 27 | Cruzeir… v Dimensã… | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Cruzeir… v Agrimaq | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Cruzeir… v GuaranÃ… | 1-0 |
| Sep 07 | Cruzeir… v Figueir… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Cruzeir… v Dimensã… | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Cruzeir… v Aliança… | 3-0 |
| Aug 17 | Cruzeir… v Jacyobá | 3-2 |
| Aug 13 | Cruzeir… v Zumbi | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 12, 2025 | Cruzeiro Arap… | 2-1 | Guaranà Alago… |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Guaranà Alago… | 1-0 | Cruzeiro Arap… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Guaranà Alagoano in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cruzeiro Arapiraca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.