J-League Cup · Oct 12, 2025 06:00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PWR 74
Yokohama FC
PWR 46
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PWR 74
2 - 1
FT
Yokohama FC
PWR 46
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.4/g, Away concedes 1.5/g, expected 3.3 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
46%
Team Comparison
83Attack54
63Defense46
Goals/G
2.41.5
Conc/G
1.11.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sanfrecce Hiro…
WWDWD
STABLE
Yokohama FC
LLWDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sanfrecce Hiro…vs
0.40
Yokohama FCGoal Probability
Sanfrecce H…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Yokohama FC
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)1-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Sanfrecce H…+10
Gap#11
Yokohama FC
WR 79% 33 pts
WR 36% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hir… | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 33 |
| Yokohama FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Sanfrecce Hiro…
16.0%
| Oct 08 | Sanfrec… v Yokoham… | 0-2 |
| Oct 04 | Sanfrec… v Machida… | 2-1 |
| Sep 30 | Sanfrec… v SHANGHA… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Sanfrec… v Avispa … | 1-2 |
| Sep 23 | Sanfrec… v Kashiwa… | 0-0 |
| Sep 16 | Sanfrec… v Melbour… | 0-2 |
| Sep 12 | Sanfrec… v Kyoto S… | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Sanfrec… v Shonan … | 4-1 |
| Sep 03 | Sanfrec… v Shonan … | 3-2 |
| Aug 31 | Sanfrec… v Cerezo … | 1-1 |
Yokohama FC
10.0%
| Oct 08 | Yokoham… v Sanfrec… | 0-2 |
| Oct 04 | Yokoham… v Avispa … | 1-0 |
| Sep 28 | Yokoham… v Shonan … | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Yokoham… v Fagiano… | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Yokoham… v Albirex… | 1-0 |
| Sep 12 | Yokoham… v Machida… | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Yokoham… v Vissel … | 1-0 |
| Sep 03 | Yokoham… v Vissel … | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Yokoham… v Tokyo V… | 0-0 |
| Aug 23 | Yokoham… v Gamba O… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 08, 2025 | Yokohama FC | 0-2 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Yokohama FC | 0-4 | Sanfrecce Hir… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sanfrecce Hiroshima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.