Goiano - 3 · Nov 09, 2025 18:30
Bom Jesus EC
PWR 85
PWR 85
1 - 0
FT
Pinheiros
PWR 77
PWR 77
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (22%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (5%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
91Attack76
83Defense80
Goals/G
2.62.2
Conc/G
0.50.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bom Jesus EC
WWDWW
STABLE
Pinheiros
WWWWL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 2%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Bom Jesus ECvs
0.84
PinheirosGoal Probability
Bom Jesus EC
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Pinheiros
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Bom Jesus EC-1
Gap#1
Pinheiros
WR 80% 26 pts
WR 75% 28 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bom Jesus EC | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 26 |
| Pinheiros | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 28 |
Bom Jesus EC
18.0%
| Nov 02 | Bom Jes… v Itumbia… | 0-8 |
| Oct 26 | Bom Jes… v Pires d… | 1-4 |
| Oct 18 | Bom Jes… v America… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Bom Jes… v Apareci… | 2-1 |
| Oct 03 | Bom Jes… v Guanaba… | 1-3 |
| Sep 27 | Bom Jes… v Rioverd… | 3-0 |
| Sep 21 | Bom Jes… v Santa H… | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | Bom Jes… v Crixás … | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Bom Jes… v ABD FC | 1-0 |
Pinheiros
16.0%
| Nov 01 | Pinheir… v Apareci… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Pinheir… v Guanaba… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Pinheir… v ABD FC | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Pinheir… v Santa H… | 1-3 |
| Oct 05 | Pinheir… v Crixás … | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Pinheir… v ASEEV | 0-5 |
| Sep 21 | Pinheir… v Itumbia… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Pinheir… v Desport… | 1-3 |
| Sep 15 | Pinheir… v Estrela… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Pinheir… v Pires d… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bom Jesus EC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Pinheiros in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.