Capixaba B · Oct 11, 2025 19:30
Fortaleza
PWR 84
Fortaleza
PWR 84
1 - 0
FT
Serra Talhada
PWR 78
PWR 78
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (3%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
77Attack100
93Defense75
Goals/G
2.23.0
Conc/G
0.20.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fortaleza
WWLWW
STABLE
Serra Talhada
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Capixaba
Expected Goals (xG)
3.65
Fortalezavs
0.66
Serra TalhadaGoal Probability
Fortaleza
0
3%
1
10%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Serra Talha…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)1-0 (16%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Fortaleza-1
Gap#7
Serra Talha…
WR 80% 13 pts
WR 57% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| Serra Talhada | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 13 |
Fortaleza
16.0%
| Oct 05 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 0-1 |
| Oct 02 | Fortale… v São Pau… | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Fortale… v Sport R… | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 5-0 |
| Sep 21 | Fortale… v Palmeir… | 4-1 |
| Sep 20 | Fortale… v Linhares | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortale… v GEL | 7-0 |
| Sep 13 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
Serra Talhada
14.0%
| Sep 27 | Serra T… v Linhares | 0-0 |
| Sep 12 | Serra T… v Linhares | 2-1 |
| Sep 05 | Serra T… v GEL | 1-9 |
| Aug 29 | Serra T… v Estrela… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Serra T… v Pinheir… | 4-0 |
| Aug 09 | Serra T… v Desport… | 5-0 |
| Jul 15 | Serra T… v Porto V… | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Serra T… v Porto V… | 1-2 |
| Jun 25 | Serra T… v Real No… | 3-4 |
| Jun 15 | Serra T… v Vilavel… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5)
Serra Talhada in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.