Primera D · Nov 28, 2023 20:00
Mercedes
PWR 38
Juventud Unida
PWR 30
Mercedes
PWR 38
0 - 4
FT
Juventud Unida
PWR 30
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mercedes Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (33%)0-1 (27%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
WRONG 0-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
35Attack30
50Defense43
Goals/G
1.00.9
Conc/G
1.41.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mercedes
WLWDD
STABLE
Juventud Unida
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Mercedesvs
0.82
Juventud UnidaGoal Probability
Mercedes
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Juventud Un…
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (27%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Mercedes-1
Gap#8
Juventud Un…
WR 29% 8 pts
WR 14% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| Juventud Unida | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 9 |
Mercedes
12.0%
| Nov 20 | Mercedes v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Nov 13 | Mercedes v Centro … | 0-2 |
| Jul 31 | Mercedes v Centro … | 1-4 |
| Mar 18 | Mercedes v Centro … | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Mercedes v Centro … | 0-0 |
| May 29 | Mercedes v Centro … | 2-0 |
Juventud Unida
0.0%
| Nov 24 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 0-4 |
| Sep 25 | Juventu… v Lujan | 0-2 |
| Aug 05 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-0 |
| Jun 19 | Juventu… v Lujan | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Juventu… v Lujan | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-1 |
| Aug 20 | Juventu… v Lujan | 2-1 |
| Aug 13 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-3 |
| Jun 05 | Juventu… v Lujan | 1-3 |
| May 28 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
44%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Juventud Unida struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.