UEFA Nations League · Jun 05, 2025 19:00
Paris FC
PWR 31
France
PWR 60
Paris FC
PWR 31
5 - 4
FT
France
PWR 60
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 3.0/g, Away concedes 1.6/g, expected 4.7 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Paris FC Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 5-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
39Attack77
49Defense44
Goals/G
1.32.2
Conc/G
1.71.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Paris FC
WDLWW
STABLE
France
LWWDW
STABLE
Key Players
Paris FC
Ilan Kebbal
5G3A
Willem Geubbels
3G
Jean-Philippe K…
1G1A
Pierre Lees Mel…
1G1A
Maxime LĂłpez
2A
France
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Paris FCvs
0.20
FranceGoal Probability
Paris FC
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
France
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Paris FC-1
Gap#6
France
WR 40% 9 pts
WR 60% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
| France | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
Paris FC
14.0%
| Jun 01 | Paris FC v Sioni B… | 0-1 |
| May 28 | Paris FC v Rustavi | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Paris FC v Samtred… | 1-0 |
| May 20 | Paris FC v Merani … | 3-0 |
| May 18 | Paris FC v Apollon… | 2-3 |
| May 17 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 3-1 |
| May 15 | Paris FC v Meshakh… | 0-0 |
| May 10 | Paris FC v Ajaccio | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Paris FC v Montpel… | 1-4 |
| May 09 | Paris FC v Gonio | 2-0 |
France
14.0%
| Jun 01 | France v Portuga… | 0-3 |
| May 29 | France v Belgium | 3-2 |
| May 25 | France v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| May 22 | France v Portuga… | 0-0 |
| Mar 23 | France v AS Roma | 2-0 |
| Mar 20 | France v AS Roma | 2-0 |
| Nov 17 | France v Italy U… | 1-3 |
| Jul 09 | France v Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Jul 05 | France v Portuga… | 0-0 |
| Jul 01 | France v Belgium | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 09, 2024 | Paris FC | 2-1 | France |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Paris FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
France in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.