FAI President's Cup · Feb 07, 2025 19:45
Melbourne City
PWR 90
Drogheda United
PWR 11
Melbourne City
PWR 90
2 - 0
FT
Drogheda United
PWR 11
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Melbourne City Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
70Attack0
100Defense30
Goals/G
2.00.0
Conc/G
0.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Melbourne City
LDWLW
STABLE
Drogheda United
WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Melbourne Cityvs
0.64
Drogheda UnitedGoal Probability
Melbourne C…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Drogheda Un…
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Melbourne C…+4
Gap#5
Drogheda Un…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Drogheda Unit… | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Melbourne City
10.0%
| Jan 25 | Melbour… v Macarth… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Melbour… v Bray Wa… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Melbour… v Wexford | 4-1 |
| Jan 18 | Melbour… v Auckland | 3-0 |
| Jan 11 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Melbour… v Welling… | 2-0 |
| Dec 31 | Melbour… v Central… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Dec 15 | Melbour… v Auckland | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | Melbour… v Brisban… | 1-4 |
Drogheda United
6.0%
| Nov 16 | Droghed… v Bray Wa… | 1-3 |
| Nov 10 | Droghed… v Kerry FC | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Droghed… v Dundalk | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Droghed… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Droghed… v Shamroc… | 0-1 |
| Oct 11 | Droghed… v Wexford | 0-0 |
| Oct 06 | Droghed… v Wexford | 3-2 |
| Sep 27 | Droghed… v Kerry FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Droghed… v Galway … | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Droghed… v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 25, 2024 | Melbourne City | 2-1 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Jul 04, 2024 | Drogheda Unit… | 1-1 | Melbourne City |
| May 10, 2024 | Melbourne City | 1-1 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Apr 05, 2024 | Drogheda Unit… | 2-2 | Melbourne City |
| Nov 03, 2023 | Drogheda Unit… | 2-4 | Melbourne City |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Drogheda United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.