Second League - Play-offs · Jun 26, 2024 14:00
Haras El Hodood
PWR 61
Sporting Alexandria
PWR 41
PWR 41
1 - 2
FT
Haras El Hodood
PWR 61
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sporting Alexandria Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
29Attack47
59Defense71
Goals/G
0.81.3
Conc/G
1.20.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting Alexa…
DWLDW
STABLE
Haras El Hodood
WLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Sporting Alexa…vs
0.20
Haras El HodoodGoal Probability
Sporting Al…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Haras El Ho…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Sporting Al…-2
Gap#1
Haras El Ho…
WR 33% 8 pts
WR 67% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Alex… | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Haras El Hodo… | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
Sporting Alexa…
12.0%
| Jun 20 | Sportin… v Suez | 2-2 |
| Jun 12 | Sportin… v Tersana | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Sportin… v Tersana | 3-0 |
| Jun 02 | Sportin… v Haras E… | 0-0 |
| May 22 | Sportin… v Suez | 1-0 |
Haras El Hodood
14.0%
| Jun 20 | Haras E… v Tersana | 2-1 |
| Jun 12 | Haras E… v Suez | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Haras E… v Suez | 1-0 |
| Jun 02 | Haras E… v Sportin… | 0-0 |
| May 22 | Haras E… v Tersana | 2-3 |
| Jul 06 | Haras E… v Al-Masr… | 3-2 |
| Jul 01 | Haras E… v Al Itti… | 2-2 |
| May 24 | Haras E… v Al Assi… | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Haras E… v El Geish | 2-3 |
| Apr 13 | Haras E… v Zamalek… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jun 02, 2024 | Haras El Hodo… | 0-0 | Sporting Alex… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Haras El Hodood in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.