Copa Uruguay · Oct 17, 2025 00:00

Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 31

Plaza Colonia
PWR 15

Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 31
1 - 1
FT

Plaza Colonia
PWR 15
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.7 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Racing Club de Montevideo Win
Score
0-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (28%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
12Attack12
77Defense30
Goals/G
0.30.3
Conc/G
0.72.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Racing Club de…
DLWDW
STABLE
Plaza Colonia
LWDLL
STABLE
Match Events
'
Unknown Player
'
Unknown Player
'
Unknown Player
'
E. Da Silva
'
Unknown Player
'
Unknown Player
'
E. Da Silva
'
Unknown Player
'
Unknown Player
'
E. Da Silva
'
Y. Calleros
'
G. Bueno
'
E. Da Silva
'
Y. Calleros
'
G. Bueno
'
Unknown Player
'
E. Da Silva
'
Y. Calleros
'
G. Bueno
'
J. Ramos
'
Unknown Player
'
E. Da Silva
'
Y. Calleros
'
G. Bueno
'
J. Ramos
'
E. Da Silva
'
Y. Calleros
'
G. Bueno
'
J. Ramos
'
E. Da Silva
'
Y. Calleros
'
G. Bueno
'
J. Ramos
9 - 14
0 - 0
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Racing Club de…vs
0.21
Plaza ColoniaGoal Probability
Racing Club…
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Plaza Colon…
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Racing Club…+6
Gap#16
Plaza Colon…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club d… | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Plaza Colonia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Racing Club de…
12.0%
| Oct 11 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Racing … v Plaza C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 03 | Racing … v Miramar | 3-0 |
| Sep 29 | Racing … v Progreso | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Racing … v River P… | 2-3 |
| Sep 13 | Racing … v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Sep 10 | Racing … v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Sep 07 | Racing … v Club Na… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 1-4 |
| Aug 24 | Racing … v Atletic… | 4-0 |
Plaza Colonia
6.0%
| Oct 10 | Plaza C… v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Plaza C… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Plaza C… v River P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Plaza C… v Boston … | 6-1 |
| Sep 14 | Plaza C… v Club Na… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Plaza C… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Plaza C… v Atletic… | 2-4 |
| Aug 23 | Plaza C… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Plaza C… v Cerrito | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | Plaza C… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Racing Club d… | 0-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Plaza Colonia | 0-1 | Racing Club d… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Plaza Colonia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.