Serie B · Nov 23, 2025 19:30
Chapecoense
PWR 52
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 49
Chapecoense
PWR 52
1 - 0
FT
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 49
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
42Attack43
70Defense61
Goals/G
1.21.2
Conc/G
0.91.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chapecoense
DLDWL
STABLE
Athletico Para…
WWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Chapecoensevs
0.69
Athletico Para…Goal Probability
Chapecoense
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Athletico P…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Chapecoense-2
Gap#1
Athletico P…
WR 43% 97 pts
WR 41% 118 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | 61 | 26 | 19 | 16 | 73 | 52 | 97 |
| Athletico Par… | 79 | 32 | 22 | 25 | 97 | 88 | 118 |
Chapecoense
8.0%
| Nov 15 | Chapeco… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | Chapeco… v América… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | Chapeco… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | Chapeco… v Operári… | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Chapeco… v Figueir… | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Chapeco… v Figueir… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Chapeco… v Goiás | 1-3 |
| Oct 15 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 1-1 |
| Oct 14 | Chapeco… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Oct 09 | Chapeco… v Ferrovi… | 0-1 |
Athletico Para…
14.0%
| Nov 19 | Athleti… v Gavião | 3-1 |
| Nov 16 | Athleti… v Ferrovi… | 1-2 |
| Nov 15 | Athleti… v Operári… | 0-0 |
| Nov 14 | Athleti… v Gavião | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Athleti… v Criciúma | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Athleti… v Volta R… | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Athleti… v Goiás | 0-1 |
| Oct 31 | Athleti… v Paysand… | 2-1 |
| Oct 28 | Athleti… v Amazonas | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Athleti… v CRB | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 17, 2025 | Chapecoense | 2-3 | Athletico Par… |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 0-0 | Chapecoense |
| May 09, 2025 | Athletico Par… | 1-1 | Chapecoense |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.