Nationalliga A Women · Feb 20, 2026 19:15
FC Aarau
PWR 21
Luzern Women
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
FC Aarau
PWR 21
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Luzern Women to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-3 (5%)3-3 (4%)2-2 (3%)1-3 (3%)3-2 (3%)1-2 (2%)
WRONG 2-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.64x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.7x
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 92%
Over 3.5
81%
81%
Team Comparison
0Attack28
100Defense21
Goals/G
0.00.8
Conc/G
0.02.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Luzern Women
DLLLL
STABLE
FC Aarau
LLDLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth league excluded: Women
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Luzern Womenvs
4.00
FC AarauGoal Probability
Luzern Women
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
FC Aarau
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
CORRECT SCORES
2-3 (6%)2-2 (5%)1-3 (5%)2-4 (5%)1-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 6.5 | 33% | 68% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Luzern Women+1
Gap#8
FC Aarau
WR 21% 47 pts
WR 13% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzern Women | 56 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 70 | 123 | 47 |
| FC Aarau | 61 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 49 | 137 | 35 |
Luzern Women
2.0%
| Feb 14 | Luzern … v Grassho… | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Luzern … v FC Thun | 2-4 |
| Dec 06 | Luzern … v Rappers… | 4-1 |
| Nov 15 | Luzern … v Servett… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Luzern … v Young B… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Luzern … v St. Gal… | 0-3 |
| Oct 05 | Luzern … v Zürich … | 1-4 |
| Sep 27 | Luzern … v Basel W… | 2-2 |
| Sep 24 | Luzern … v Grassho… | 2-8 |
| Sep 20 | Luzern … v FC Thun | 1-2 |
FC Aarau
6.0%
| Feb 14 | FC Aarau v Servett… | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | FC Aarau v Stade L… | 4-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC Aarau v FC WIL … | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | FC Aarau v Young B… | 3-0 |
| Jan 30 | FC Aarau v Yverdon… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FC Aarau v Bellinz… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | FC Aarau v FK Crve… | 4-1 |
| Jan 06 | FC Aarau v Dynamo … | 3-2 |
| Dec 19 | FC Aarau v FC Vaduz | 3-2 |
| Dec 12 | FC Aarau v Étoile … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 06, 2025 | FC Aarau | 1-1 | Luzern Women |
| Mar 15, 2025 | FC Aarau | 4-1 | Luzern Women |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Luzern Women | 1-1 | FC Aarau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FC Aarau | 0-2 | Luzern Women |
| Oct 07, 2023 | Luzern Women | 0-0 | FC Aarau |
| Apr 19, 2023 | Luzern Women | 6-0 | FC Aarau |
| Sep 24, 2022 | FC Aarau | 3-1 | Luzern Women |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Luzern Women | 3-1 | FC Aarau |
| Aug 28, 2021 | FC Aarau | 1-1 | Luzern Women |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
43%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Luzern Women struggling (4L in last 5)
FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.