Allsvenskan · Nov 09, 2025 14:00

Malmö FF
PWR 55
2 - 1
FT

Aris
PWR 50
31% 28% 41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Malmö FF Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-2 (16%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (9%)0-3 (9%)1-2 (8%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5 64%
64%
BTTS No
No 31%
Over 3.5 59%
59%
Team Comparison
56Attack44
62Defense65
Goals/G
1.61.3
Conc/G
1.11.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Malmö FF LLWDL
DOWN
Aris WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Malmö FF
vs
1.69
Aris
Goal Probability
Malmö FF
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Aris
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 92% 8% OVER
2.5 78% 22% OVER
3.5 59% 41% -
4.5 40% 60% -
5.5 24% 76% UNDER
6.5 13% 87% UNDER
League Position
#2
Malmö FF
+8
Gap
#10
Aris
WR 44% 112 pts WR 40% 61 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Malmö FF6930221711174112
Aris40161311504061
Malmö FF 6.0%
Nov 08 Malmö FF v Falkenb… 1-2
Nov 06 Malmö FF v Panathi… 0-1
Nov 01 Malmö FF v Örgryte… 0-2
Nov 01 Malmö FF v BK Häck… 1-1
Oct 27 Malmö FF v Hammarb… 1-3
Oct 25 Malmö FF v GIF Sun… 0-2
Oct 23 Malmö FF v Dinamo … 1-1
Oct 18 Malmö FF v IFK Nor… 0-2
Oct 18 Malmö FF v Oddevold 3-2
Oct 05 Malmö FF v Sirius 5-1
Aris 16.0%
Nov 08 Aris v Digenis… 3-0
Nov 08 Aris v Olympia… 1-1
Nov 02 Aris v Östers … 1-1
Oct 31 Aris v Aris 3-1
Oct 27 Aris v IF Brom… 0-2
Oct 26 Aris v Anortho… 1-1
Oct 26 Aris v Omonia … 0-1
Oct 22 Aris v Omonia … 2-1
Oct 19 Aris v Djurgår… 3-2
Oct 19 Aris v AEL 4-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Jul 05, 2025 Aris 0-0 Malmö FF
Sep 18, 2024 Aris 0-0 Malmö FF
May 16, 2024 Malmö FF 1-0 Aris
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aris in strong form (3W in last 5)
Malmö FF struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.