1 Lyga · Nov 09, 2025 12:30
Panevėžys
PWR 36
Panevėžys
PWR 36
4 - 3
FT
Kauno Žalgiris II
PWR 34
PWR 34
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Panevėžys to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (11%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (6%)1-3 (6%)
WRONG 4-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
44Attack48
35Defense29
Goals/G
1.31.4
Conc/G
1.82.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Panevėžys
WLLWL
STABLE
Kauno Žalgiris…
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Panevėžysvs
1.85
Kauno Žalgiris…Goal Probability
Panevėžys
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Kauno Žalgi…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Panevėžys+2
Gap#14
Kauno Žalgi…
WR 28% 32 pts
WR 25% 27 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panevėžys | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 59 | 32 |
| Kauno Žalgiri… | 32 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 65 | 27 |
Panevėžys
8.0%
| Nov 08 | Panevėž… v FK Zalg… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 3-2 |
| Oct 31 | Panevėž… v BFA | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Panevėž… v Džiugas… | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | Panevėž… v Ekranas… | 0-2 |
| Oct 22 | Panevėž… v FK Trak… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Panevėž… v Atmosfe… | 4-1 |
| Oct 18 | Panevėž… v Selangor | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Panevėž… v Šiauliai | 3-3 |
| Oct 04 | Panevėž… v Jonava | 2-2 |
Kauno Žalgiris…
0.0%
| Oct 31 | Kauno Ž… v Aucas | 0-1 |
| Oct 24 | Kauno Ž… v Neptūną… | 3-1 |
| Oct 18 | Kauno Ž… v Babrung… | 1-2 |
| Oct 05 | Kauno Ž… v Benfica | 0-4 |
| Sep 26 | Kauno Ž… v TransIN… | 2-3 |
| Sep 20 | Kauno Ž… v Žalgiri… | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Kauno Ž… v Minija | 1-2 |
| Aug 29 | Kauno Ž… v FA Šiau… | 1-2 |
| Aug 22 | Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… | 2-0 |
| Aug 16 | Kauno Ž… v Hegelma… | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 28, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiri… | 2-2 | Panevėžys |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Panevėžys | 6-0 | Kauno Žalgiri… |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiri… | 1-2 | Panevėžys |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
37%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Panevėžys struggling (3L in last 5)
Kauno Žalgiris II struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.