1 Lyga · Nov 09, 2025 12:30
Aucas
PWR 65
Aucas
PWR 65
0 - 0
FT
Hegelmann II
PWR 36
PWR 36
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Aucas Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
66Attack43
72Defense40
Goals/G
1.91.2
Conc/G
0.81.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aucas
DWWLD
STABLE
Hegelmann II
LLWLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Aucasvs
1.49
Hegelmann IIGoal Probability
Aucas
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Hegelmann II
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Aucas+8
Gap#11
Hegelmann II
WR 56% 64 pts
WR 25% 33 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aucas | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 60 | 26 | 64 |
| Hegelmann II | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 55 | 33 |
Aucas
12.0%
| Nov 01 | Aucas v El Naci… | 3-3 |
| Oct 31 | Aucas v Kauno Ž… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Aucas v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Aucas v BFA | 2-3 |
| Oct 19 | Aucas v Emelec | 0-0 |
| Oct 17 | Aucas v Ekranas… | 1-3 |
| Oct 05 | Aucas v Macará | 3-2 |
| Oct 04 | Aucas v Atmosfe… | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Aucas v FC Barc… | 1-1 |
| Sep 26 | Aucas v Panevėž… | 0-5 |
Hegelmann II
6.0%
| Oct 31 | Hegelma… v Neptūną… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Hegelma… v Babrung… | 4-1 |
| Oct 17 | Hegelma… v Benfica | 1-3 |
| Oct 04 | Hegelma… v TransIN… | 3-0 |
| Sep 26 | Hegelma… v Žalgiri… | 1-1 |
| Sep 19 | Hegelma… v Minija | 2-0 |
| Sep 12 | Hegelma… v FA Šiau… | 0-2 |
| Aug 29 | Hegelma… v Panevėž… | 0-3 |
| Aug 23 | Hegelma… v Jonava | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Hegelma… v Kauno Ž… | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 27, 2025 | Hegelmann II | 1-0 | Aucas |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Hegelmann II | 3-3 | Aucas |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Aucas | 1-1 | Hegelmann II |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hegelmann II struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.