Persha Liga · Dec 09, 2025 09:30
Chernihiv
PWR 38
PWR 38
3 - 0
FT
Probiy Horodenka
PWR 34
PWR 34
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Chernihiv to win (75% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
75%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
WRONG 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
39Attack31
44Defense48
Goals/G
1.10.9
Conc/G
1.61.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chernihiv
WLDLD
STABLE
Probiy Horoden…
LLLWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Chernihivvs
0.62
Probiy Horoden…Goal Probability
Chernihiv
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Probiy Horo…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Chernihiv+4
Gap#18
Probiy Horo…
WR 30% 29 pts
WR 22% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernihiv | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 43 | 29 |
| Probiy Horode… | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 16 |
Chernihiv
8.0%
| Nov 29 | Chernih… v Prykarp… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Chernih… v Viktori… | 3-0 |
| Nov 12 | Chernih… v Livyi B… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Chernih… v Ahrobiz… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Chernih… v Inhulets | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Chernih… v Lisne | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Chernih… v Chornom… | 1-0 |
| Oct 13 | Chernih… v UCSA | 2-0 |
| Oct 08 | Chernih… v SK Polt… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Chernih… v Podilly… | 1-1 |
Probiy Horoden…
6.0%
| Nov 29 | Probiy … v Bukovyna | 3-1 |
| Nov 23 | Probiy … v Livyi B… | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Probiy … v Prykarp… | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Probiy … v Viktori… | 3-2 |
| Oct 25 | Probiy … v Yarud M… | 0-0 |
| Oct 19 | Probiy … v Ahrobiz… | 0-3 |
| Oct 12 | Probiy … v Inhulets | 0-1 |
| Oct 08 | Probiy … v Metalur… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Probiy … v Chornom… | 0-2 |
| Sep 27 | Probiy … v UCSA | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 03, 2025 | Probiy Horode… | 1-0 | Chernihiv |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Probiy Horodenka struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.