Copa Santa Catarina · Nov 09, 2025 20:00
MarcĂlio Dias
PWR 62
Figueirense
PWR 58
MarcĂlio Dias
PWR 62
2 - 1
FT
Figueirense
PWR 58
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: MarcĂlio Dias to win (61% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
82Attack63
55Defense61
Goals/G
2.41.8
Conc/G
1.31.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MarcĂlio Dias
LDWWD
STABLE
Figueirense
WWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
MarcĂlio Diasvs
0.94
FigueirenseGoal Probability
MarcĂlio Di…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Figueirense
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (10%)4-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
MarcĂlio Di…-1
Gap#1
Figueirense
WR 47% 30 pts
WR 47% 32 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MarcĂlio Dias | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 22 | 30 |
| Figueirense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 21 | 32 |
MarcĂlio Dias
12.0%
| Nov 02 | MarcĂli… v Figueir… | 3-0 |
| Oct 25 | MarcĂli… v Santa C… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | MarcĂli… v Santa C… | 3-2 |
| Oct 12 | MarcĂli… v Barra | 6-0 |
| Oct 04 | MarcĂli… v Figueir… | 2-2 |
| Oct 01 | MarcĂli… v AvaĂ | 1-5 |
| Sep 22 | MarcĂli… v AvaĂ | 3-0 |
| Sep 15 | MarcĂli… v Figueir… | 1-2 |
| Sep 10 | MarcĂli… v Barra | 0-6 |
| Aug 09 | MarcĂli… v Inter D… | 2-1 |
Figueirense
12.0%
| Nov 02 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 3-0 |
| Oct 26 | Figueir… v Chapeco… | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Figueir… v Chapeco… | 2-1 |
| Oct 12 | Figueir… v Avaà | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 2-2 |
| Oct 01 | Figueir… v Barra | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Figueir… v GuaranĂ… | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Figueir… v Barra | 2-1 |
| Sep 15 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 1-2 |
| Sep 13 | Figueir… v Dimensã… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Figueirense | 3-0 | MarcĂlio Dias |
| Oct 04, 2025 | Figueirense | 2-2 | MarcĂlio Dias |
| Sep 15, 2025 | MarcĂlio Dias | 1-2 | Figueirense |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MarcĂlio Dias | 2-1 | Figueirense |
| Oct 16, 2024 | MarcĂlio Dias | 0-0 | Figueirense |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MarcĂlio Dias | 2-0 | Figueirense |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Figueirense | 2-2 | MarcĂlio Dias |
| Feb 09, 2023 | Figueirense | 2-1 | MarcĂlio Dias |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.