HKFA 1st Division · Dec 28, 2025 05:30
Metro Gallery Sun Source
PWR 81
PWR 81
2 - 0
FT
Sham Shui Po
PWR 69
PWR 69
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (8%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
100Attack70
55Defense65
Goals/G
3.92.0
Conc/G
1.31.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Metro Gallery …
WWWWW
UP
Sham Shui Po
WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 9%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Metro Gallery …vs
1.24
Sham Shui PoGoal Probability
Metro Galle…
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Sham Shui Po
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Metro Galle…+1
Gap#6
Sham Shui Po
WR 90% 27 pts
WR 73% 25 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metro Gallery… | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 27 |
| Sham Shui Po | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 25 |
Metro Gallery …
20.0%
| Dec 21 | Metro G… v Kwun To… | 1-6 |
| Dec 07 | Metro G… v South C… | 0-4 |
| Nov 30 | Metro G… v Yuen Lo… | 3-2 |
| Nov 16 | Metro G… v Resourc… | 7-1 |
| Nov 02 | Metro G… v WSE | 2-3 |
| Oct 19 | Metro G… v Hoi King | 4-1 |
| Oct 12 | Metro G… v Tung Si… | 3-2 |
| Sep 28 | Metro G… v Central… | 1-5 |
| Sep 21 | Metro G… v 3 Sing | 3-2 |
Sham Shui Po
20.0%
| Dec 21 | Sham Sh… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Sham Sh… v Shatin | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Sham Sh… v South C… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Sham Sh… v Kwun To… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Sham Sh… v 3 Sing | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Sham Sh… v Hoi King | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Sham Sh… v Tung Si… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Sham Sh… v Citizen… | 2-3 |
| Sep 28 | Sham Sh… v Yuen Lo… | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | Sham Sh… v Lucky M… | 8-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Metro Gallery Sun Source in strong form (5W in last 5)
Sham Shui Po in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.