USL League One Cup · Jun 29, 2025 02:00
Orange County SC
PWR 44
Sacramento Republic
PWR 23
Orange County SC
PWR 44
1 - 0
FT
Sacramento Republic
PWR 23
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.8 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Orange County SC to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
35Attack0
48Defense65
Goals/G
1.00.0
Conc/G
1.51.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Orange County …
WLWLL
STABLE
Sacramento Rep…
WLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Orange County …vs
0.77
Sacramento Rep…Goal Probability
Orange Coun…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Sacramento …
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Orange Coun…+6
Gap#15
Sacramento …
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County… | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Sacramento Re… | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Orange County …
8.0%
| Jun 15 | Orange … v El Paso… | 0-3 |
| Jun 08 | Orange … v Phoenix… | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Orange … v Colorad… | 3-1 |
| May 18 | Orange … v New Mex… | 0-3 |
| May 09 | Orange … v North C… | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Orange … v FC UFA | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Orange … v Las Veg… | 1-3 |
| Apr 13 | Orange … v Sacrame… | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Orange … v Las Veg… | 1-0 |
| Nov 10 | Orange … v Colorad… | 2-1 |
Sacramento Rep…
10.0%
| Jun 21 | Sacrame… v Rhode I… | 0-2 |
| Jun 19 | Sacrame… v Birming… | 1-0 |
| Jun 15 | Sacrame… v San Ant… | 0-0 |
| Jun 08 | Sacrame… v FC Tulsa | 0-1 |
| May 18 | Sacrame… v Las Veg… | 5-0 |
| May 11 | Sacrame… v Indy El… | 1-1 |
| May 04 | Sacrame… v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | Sacrame… v Orange … | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Sacrame… v FC Tulsa | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Sacrame… v Las Veg… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 13, 2025 | Orange County… | 2-1 | Sacramento Re… |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Orange County… | 0-2 | Sacramento Re… |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Sacramento Re… | 2-2 | Orange County… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Orange County SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.