Cup · Dec 03, 2025 12:00
Mladost Ždralovi
PWR 38
HNK Rijeka
PWR 51
Mladost Ždralovi
PWR 38
1 - 4
FT
HNK Rijeka
PWR 51
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
HNK Rijeka Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
CORRECT 1-4
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
35Attack45
30Defense58
Goals/G
1.01.3
Conc/G
2.01.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mladost Ždralo…
WWDLD
STABLE
HNK Rijeka
DDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Mladost Ždralo…vs
0.89
HNK RijekaGoal Probability
Mladost Ždr…
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
HNK Rijeka
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Mladost Ždr…-11
Gap#1
HNK Rijeka
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 50% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Ždral… | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| HNK Rijeka | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
Mladost Ždralo…
12.0%
| Nov 29 | Mladost… v Kustosi… | 1-2 |
| Nov 21 | Mladost… v Uskok K… | 2-1 |
| Nov 15 | Mladost… v Bjelovar | 1-1 |
| Nov 07 | Mladost… v Segesta… | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Mladost… v Križevci | 1-1 |
| Oct 24 | Mladost… v Dakovo-… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Mladost… v Jadran … | 0-2 |
| Oct 10 | Mladost… v NK Vara… | 3-1 |
| Oct 03 | Mladost… v Hrvatsk… | 0-1 |
| Sep 26 | Mladost… v Solin | 1-1 |
HNK Rijeka
10.0%
| Nov 30 | HNK Rij… v NK Loko… | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | HNK Rij… v AEK Lar… | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | HNK Rij… v HNK Haj… | 5-0 |
| Nov 09 | HNK Rij… v NK Vara… | 1-0 |
| Nov 06 | HNK Rij… v Lincoln… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | HNK Rij… v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | HNK Rij… v NK Osij… | 4-2 |
| Oct 24 | HNK Rij… v Slavia … | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | HNK Rij… v NK Slav… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | HNK Rij… v HNK Gor… | 1-3 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.