Ligue 1 · Mar 23, 2025 15:00
Étoile du Congo Brazzaville
PWR 55
Diables Noirs
PWR 59
Étoile du Congo Brazzaville
PWR 55
3 - 0
FT
Diables Noirs
PWR 59
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Étoile du Congo Brazzaville to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (18%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 3-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
45Attack64
69Defense59
Goals/G
1.31.8
Conc/G
0.91.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Étoile du Cong…
WDWDW
STABLE
Diables Noirs
LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Étoile du Cong…vs
0.68
Diables NoirsGoal Probability
Étoile du C…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Diables Noi…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (13%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)4-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Étoile du C…-3
Gap#5
Diables Noi…
WR 50% 30 pts
WR 52% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile du Con… | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 30 |
| Diables Noirs | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 50 |
Étoile du Cong…
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Étoile … v Club At… | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | Étoile … v JS Tala… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Étoile … v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 1-1 |
| Jun 02 | Étoile … v Vegas | 3-0 |
| May 25 | Étoile … v Kondzo | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 2-1 |
| Nov 12 | Étoile … v Vegas | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 1-0 |
Diables Noirs
8.0%
| Mar 16 | Diables… v Otôho d… | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Diables… v Patrona… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Diables… v Club At… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Diables… v Kondzo | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Diables… v JS Tala… | 0-2 |
| May 31 | Diables… v Nouvell… | 4-0 |
| May 17 | Diables… v Vegas | 1-2 |
| May 05 | Diables… v Chemino… | 0-3 |
| Apr 27 | Diables… v JS Tala… | 0-3 |
| Mar 24 | Diables… v V.Club … | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Étoile du Congo Brazzaville in strong form (3W in last 5)
Diables Noirs struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.