Segunda División · Nov 16, 2025 18:00
César Vallejo
PWR 48
UCV Moquegua
PWR 54
PWR 54
2 - 2
FT
César Vallejo
PWR 48
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: UCV Moquegua to win (61% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (14%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
54Attack41
62Defense66
Goals/G
1.51.2
Conc/G
1.11.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
UCV Moquegua
WLWDL
STABLE
César Vallejo
LDWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
UCV Moqueguavs
0.45
César VallejoGoal Probability
UCV Moquegua
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
César Valle…
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
UCV Moquegua+4
Gap#6
César Valle…
WR 47% 51 pts
WR 33% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCV Moquegua | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 51 |
| César Vallejo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 35 |
UCV Moquegua
10.0%
| Nov 09 | UCV Moq… v César V… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | UCV Moq… v FC Caja… | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | UCV Moq… v FC Caja… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | UCV Moq… v Union C… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | UCV Moq… v Union C… | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | UCV Moq… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | UCV Moq… v César V… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | UCV Moq… v Carlos … | 6-2 |
| Sep 06 | UCV Moq… v FC Caja… | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | UCV Moq… v Bentín … | 0-0 |
César Vallejo
12.0%
| Nov 09 | César V… v UCV Moq… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | César V… v Union C… | 2-2 |
| Oct 26 | César V… v Union C… | 2-0 |
| Oct 19 | César V… v FC Caja… | 3-0 |
| Oct 12 | César V… v FC Caja… | 0-0 |
| Oct 05 | César V… v Comerci… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | César V… v UCV Moq… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | César V… v Bentín … | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | César V… v Carlos … | 3-2 |
| Aug 23 | César V… v FC Caja… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 09, 2025 | César Vallejo | 0-1 | UCV Moquegua |
| Sep 21, 2025 | César Vallejo | 1-1 | UCV Moquegua |
| Aug 17, 2025 | UCV Moquegua | 1-0 | César Vallejo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.