NWSL Women · Nov 09, 2025 20:00
Portland Thorns Women
PWR 52
San Diego Wave Women
PWR 47
Portland Thorns Women
PWR 52
1 - 0
FT
San Diego Wave Women
PWR 47
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
51Attack51
61Defense52
Goals/G
1.51.5
Conc/G
1.11.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Portland Thorn…
WWLWL
STABLE
San Diego Wave…
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth league excluded: Women
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Portland Thorn…vs
0.97
San Diego Wave…Goal Probability
Portland Th…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
San Diego W…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Portland Th…+2
Gap#7
San Diego W…
WR 44% 64 pts
WR 36% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Thor… | 41 | 18 | 10 | 13 | 60 | 46 | 64 |
| San Diego Wav… | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 43 |
Portland Thorn…
12.0%
| Nov 02 | Portlan… v Houston… | 2-0 |
| Oct 19 | Portlan… v Angel C… | 0-2 |
| Oct 11 | Portlan… v Orlando… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Portlan… v Bay FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Portlan… v NJ/NY G… | 3-0 |
| Sep 21 | Portlan… v San Die… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Portlan… v Chicago… | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | Portlan… v Racing … | 1-2 |
| Aug 30 | Portlan… v Utah Ro… | 1-2 |
| Aug 24 | Portlan… v Kansas … | 0-2 |
San Diego Wave…
8.0%
| Nov 02 | San Die… v Kansas … | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | San Die… v Chicago… | 6-1 |
| Oct 12 | San Die… v Utah Ro… | 2-3 |
| Oct 05 | San Die… v Washing… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | San Die… v Orlando… | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | San Die… v Portlan… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | San Die… v NJ/NY G… | 0-2 |
| Sep 08 | San Die… v Houston… | 0-3 |
| Aug 30 | San Die… v OL Reign | 0-0 |
| Aug 25 | San Die… v Racing … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 21, 2025 | Portland Thor… | 1-1 | San Diego Wav… |
| May 11, 2025 | San Diego Wav… | 1-1 | Portland Thor… |
| Sep 29, 2024 | San Diego Wav… | 2-0 | Portland Thor… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portland Thorns Women in strong form (3W in last 5)
San Diego Wave Women struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.