World Cup - Qualification Oceania · Nov 17, 2024 06:00
Papua New Guinea
PWR 23
Solomon Islands
PWR 50
Papua New Guinea
PWR 23
1 - 2
FT
Solomon Islands
PWR 50
40%
26%
34%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Papua New Guinea Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)2-2 (3%)2-3 (3%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 93%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
61Attack61
4Defense39
Goals/G
1.81.8
Conc/G
2.81.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Papua New Guin…
DLLL
STABLE
Solomon Islands
LLLDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Papua New Guin…vs
2.87
Solomon IslandsGoal Probability
Papua New G…
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Solomon Isl…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Papua New G…-3
Gap#2
Solomon Isl…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papua New Gui… | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
| Solomon Islan… | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Papua New Guin…
2.5%
| Nov 14 | Papua N… v Fiji | 3-3 |
| Oct 10 | Papua N… v New Cal… | 3-1 |
| Oct 08 | Papua N… v Solomon… | 1-3 |
| Mar 27 | Papua N… v Solomon… | 3-2 |
Solomon Islands
6.0%
| Nov 14 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 2-3 |
| Oct 10 | Solomon… v Fiji | 0-1 |
| Jun 18 | Solomon… v New Zea… | 3-0 |
| Dec 01 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 2-2 |
| Oct 14 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 1-0 |
| Oct 08 | Solomon… v Papua N… | 1-3 |
| Mar 27 | Solomon… v Papua N… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 08, 2023 | Papua New Gui… | 1-3 | Solomon Islan… |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Solomon Islan… | 3-2 | Papua New Gui… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Papua New Guinea struggling (3L in last 5)
Solomon Islands struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.