Paraense SĆ©rie B2 · Nov 14, 2025 18:30
Fluminense
PWR 64
Santos
PWR 56
Fluminense
PWR 64
2 - 1
FT
Santos
PWR 56
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.2/g, Away concedes 1.8/g, expected 4.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fluminense Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
79Attack79
39Defense39
Goals/G
2.32.3
Conc/G
1.81.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fluminense
LDWLW
STABLE
Santos
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Fluminensevs
0.20
SantosGoal Probability
Fluminense
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Santos
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (17%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Fluminense+1
Gap#3
Santos
WR 75% 9 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| Santos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
Fluminense
10.0%
| Nov 11 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 4-2 |
| Nov 09 | Flumineā¦ v Cruzeiro | 0-0 |
| Nov 06 | Flumineā¦ v Mirassol | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Flumineā¦ v CearĆ” | 2-0 |
| Oct 29 | Flumineā¦ v CearĆ” | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Flumineā¦ v Internaā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Flumineā¦ v ITZ Spoā¦ | 0-0 |
| Oct 20 | Flumineā¦ v Vasco Dā¦ | 2-0 |
| Oct 17 | Flumineā¦ v Juventuā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 15 | Flumineā¦ v Madureiā¦ | 2-3 |
Santos
8.0%
| Nov 11 | Santos v Flumineā¦ | 4-2 |
| Nov 09 | Santos v Flamengo | 3-2 |
| Nov 07 | Santos v Palmeirā¦ | 2-0 |
| Nov 06 | Santos v Apareciā¦ | 3-0 |
| Nov 03 | Santos v Apareciā¦ | 3-1 |
| Nov 01 | Santos v Fortaleā¦ | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Santos v Botafogo | 2-2 |
| Oct 21 | Santos v Vitoria | 0-1 |
| Oct 16 | Santos v Corinthā¦ | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Santos v CearĆ” | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 11, 2025 | Santos | 4-2 | Fluminense |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Santos | 0-0 | Fluminense |
| Jul 09, 2025 | Santos | 2-2 | Fluminense |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Santos |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Santos | 3-2 | Fluminense |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Santos |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Santos |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Santos | 1-0 | Fluminense |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Santos | 2-1 | Fluminense |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-3 | Santos |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Santos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.