AFF Championship · Dec 20, 2024 13:00
Zambia
PWR 50
Rathfriland
PWR 84
PWR 84
3 - 2
FT
Zambia
PWR 50
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 3.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 4.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rathfriland Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
CORRECT 3-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
75%
75%
Team Comparison
100Attack70
53Defense30
Goals/G
3.02.0
Conc/G
1.32.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rathfriland
WWWLL
UP
Zambia
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Rathfrilandvs
0.64
ZambiaGoal Probability
Rathfriland
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Zambia
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)5-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Rathfriland+1
Gap#2
Zambia
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Rathfriland
12.0%
| Dec 17 | Rathfri… v Singapo… | 2-4 |
| Dec 13 | Rathfri… v Dolling… | 2-3 |
| Nov 29 | Rathfri… v Oxford … | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Rathfri… v Banbrid… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Rathfri… v Lisburn… | 0-2 |
| Aug 13 | Rathfri… v Coagh U… | 2-1 |
| Jun 11 | Rathfri… v Singapo… | 3-1 |
| Mar 23 | Rathfri… v Coagh U… | 1-3 |
| Mar 16 | Rathfri… v Moyola … | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | Rathfri… v Dolling… | 2-2 |
Zambia
4.0%
| Dec 17 | Zambia v Timor-L… | 2-1 |
| Oct 15 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 3-0 |
| Jul 02 | Zambia v Como | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Zambia v Morocco | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Zambia v Morocco | 0-1 |
| Sep 09 | Zambia v Como | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 1-1 |
| Jul 14 | Zambia v South A… | 1-2 |
| Jul 09 | Zambia v Como | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Zambia v Mali | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rathfriland in strong form (3W in last 5)
Zambia struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.