AFF Championship · Dec 17, 2024 10:45

Zambia
PWR 50

Zambia
PWR 50
2 - 1
FT
Timor-Leste U22
PWR 23
PWR 23
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Zambia Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (14%)1-0 (14%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (14%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
62%
62%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
30Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
2.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Zambia
LLLLD
DOWN
Timor-Leste U22
LWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Zambiavs
0.96
Timor-Leste U22Goal Probability
Zambia
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Timor-Leste…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (6%)3-0 (6%)4-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Zambia+1
Gap#3
Timor-Leste…
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Timor-Leste U… | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Zambia
2.0%
| Oct 15 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 3-0 |
| Jul 02 | Zambia v Como | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Zambia v Morocco | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Zambia v Morocco | 0-1 |
| Sep 09 | Zambia v Como | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 1-1 |
| Jul 14 | Zambia v South A… | 1-2 |
| Jul 09 | Zambia v Como | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Zambia v Mali | 1-0 |
| Jun 11 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 0-3 |
Timor-Leste U22
6.7%
| May 07 | Timor-L… v Indones… | 0-3 |
| May 04 | Timor-L… v Philipp… | 3-0 |
| May 02 | Timor-L… v Myanmar… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Zambia struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.