Emperor’s Cup · May 25, 2025 04:00
Matsumoto Yamaga
PWR 77
Osaka
PWR 23
Matsumoto Yamaga
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT
Osaka
PWR 23
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.0/g, Away concedes 2.0/g, expected 3.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Matsumoto Yamaga Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
CORRECT 2-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
70Attack35
65Defense30
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.02.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Matsumoto Yama…
WDLWW
STABLE
Osaka
WWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Matsumoto Yama…vs
0.51
OsakaGoal Probability
Matsumoto Y…
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Osaka
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Matsumoto Y…+20
Gap#38
Osaka
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsumoto Yam… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Osaka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Matsumoto Yama…
14.0%
| May 18 | Matsumo… v Gainare… | 1-0 |
| May 14 | Matsumo… v Parceir… | 2-2 |
| May 07 | Matsumo… v Osaka | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Matsumo… v Kanazawa | 2-1 |
| Apr 26 | Matsumo… v Kitakyu… | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Matsumo… v Tochigi… | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | Matsumo… v Kamatam… | 0-2 |
| Apr 09 | Matsumo… v Albirex… | 0-2 |
| Mar 26 | Matsumo… v Sagan T… | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | Matsumo… v Katalle… | 2-2 |
Osaka
12.0%
| May 18 | Osaka v Sagamih… | 1-2 |
| May 07 | Osaka v Matsumo… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Osaka v Tochigi… | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Osaka v Thespak… | 4-3 |
| Mar 26 | Osaka v Júbilo … | 1-2 |
| Dec 01 | Osaka v Katalle… | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Osaka v Vanraur… | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Osaka v Sagamih… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Osaka v YSCC | 5-0 |
| Nov 02 | Osaka v FC Gifu | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 07, 2025 | Osaka | 1-0 | Matsumoto Yam… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Matsumoto Yamaga in strong form (3W in last 5)
Osaka in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.