Carioca - 2 · Nov 22, 2025 18:00
Bonsucesso
PWR 55
Duque de Caxias
PWR 49
Bonsucesso
PWR 55
2 - 0
FT
Duque de Caxias
PWR 49
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Bonsucesso to win (56% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
56%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
40Attack30
77Defense70
Goals/G
1.10.8
Conc/G
0.70.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bonsucesso
LLDDW
DOWN
Duque de Caxias
WWDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Bonsucessovs
0.27
Duque de CaxiasGoal Probability
Bonsucesso
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Duque de Ca…
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Bonsucesso+1
Gap#3
Duque de Ca…
WR 47% 26 pts
WR 46% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonsucesso | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 26 |
| Duque de Caxi… | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 21 |
Bonsucesso
8.0%
| Nov 15 | Bonsuce… v Duque d… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Bonsuce… v Serrano… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Bonsuce… v Carapeb… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Bonsuce… v Petrópo… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Bonsuce… v Nova Ci… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Bonsuce… v Jataien… | 2-3 |
| Oct 11 | Bonsuce… v Paranoá | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Bonsuce… v Friburg… | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | Bonsuce… v Duque d… | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Bonsuce… v Campo G… | 1-1 |
Duque de Caxias
16.0%
| Nov 15 | Duque d… v Bonsuce… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Duque d… v Carapeb… | 0-2 |
| Nov 05 | Duque d… v Jataien… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Duque d… v Nova Ci… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | Duque d… v Paranoá | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Duque d… v Friburg… | 0-1 |
| Oct 11 | Duque d… v São Cri… | 2-0 |
| Oct 04 | Duque d… v Campo G… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Duque d… v Bonsuce… | 2-0 |
| Sep 20 | Duque d… v Artsul | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 15, 2025 | Duque de Caxi… | 1-0 | Bonsucesso |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bonsucesso | 2-0 | Duque de Caxi… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Duque de Caxias in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.