Euro Championship - Qualification · Nov 19, 2023 19:45
Paris FC
PWR 31
Algeria
PWR 12
Paris FC
PWR 31
3 - 1
FT
Algeria
PWR 12
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 5.0/g, Away concedes 5.0/g, expected 6.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Paris FC Win
Score
8-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)1-0 (10%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (8%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
39Attack35
49Defense0
Goals/G
1.31.0
Conc/G
1.75.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Paris FC
LDWLL
STABLE
Algeria
DDLDW
STABLE
Key Players
Paris FC
Ilan Kebbal
5G3A
Willem Geubbels
3G
Jean-Philippe K…
1G1A
Pierre Lees Mel…
1G1A
Maxime LĂłpez
2A
Algeria
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Paris FCvs
1.28
AlgeriaGoal Probability
Paris FC
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Algeria
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (21%)0-2 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-3 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Paris FC+1
Gap#2
Algeria
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 6 |
| Algeria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Paris FC
6.0%
| Nov 03 | Paris FC v Gareji | 0-5 |
| Oct 27 | Paris FC v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Paris FC v Ethniko… | 2-0 |
| Oct 07 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 0-2 |
| Sep 30 | Paris FC v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Sep 23 | Paris FC v Sioni B… | 0-2 |
| Sep 08 | Paris FC v Algeria | 1-7 |
| Sep 02 | Paris FC v Angers | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Paris FC v Gareji | 3-2 |
| Aug 18 | Paris FC v Lokomot… | 2-0 |
Algeria
10.0%
| Oct 16 | Algeria v Egypt | 1-1 |
| Oct 01 | Algeria v Granada | 3-3 |
| Sep 08 | Algeria v Paris FC | 1-7 |
| Aug 26 | Algeria v Cadiz | 1-1 |
| Aug 05 | Algeria v Granada | 0-1 |
| Jul 27 | Algeria v Malaga | 0-1 |
| Mar 18 | Algeria v Cadiz | 1-1 |
| Dec 30 | Algeria v Cadiz | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Algeria v Algeria | 2-1 |
| Jul 30 | Algeria v Granada | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 08, 2023 | Algeria | 1-7 | Paris FC |
| Sep 05, 2021 | Paris FC | 4-0 | Algeria |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Algeria | 1-2 | Paris FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Paris FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.