Super Cup · Aug 24, 2023 14:30
Pakhtakor
PWR 29
Nasaf
PWR 56
Pakhtakor
PWR 29
1 - 2
FT
Nasaf
PWR 56
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pakhtakor Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
35Attack53
48Defense65
Goals/G
1.01.5
Conc/G
1.51.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pakhtakor
DWWWW
STABLE
Nasaf
DWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Pakhtakorvs
1.17
NasafGoal Probability
Pakhtakor
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Nasaf
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (26%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Pakhtakor-1
Gap#1
Nasaf
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Nasaf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Pakhtakor
18.0%
| Aug 15 | Pakhtak… v Nasaf | 0-0 |
| Aug 10 | Pakhtak… v Navbahor | 1-2 |
| Apr 10 | Pakhtak… v Qizilqum | 3-1 |
| Mar 17 | Pakhtak… v Navbahor | 2-1 |
| Nov 07 | Pakhtak… v Qizilqum | 6-0 |
| Oct 18 | Pakhtak… v Kokand-… | 5-2 |
| Oct 02 | Pakhtak… v Nasaf | 0-1 |
| Sep 02 | Pakhtak… v Navbahor | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Pakhtak… v Navbahor | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | Pakhtak… v Qizilqum | 0-2 |
Nasaf
16.0%
| Aug 15 | Nasaf v Pakhtak… | 0-0 |
| May 28 | Nasaf v Sogdiana | 1-2 |
| Nov 03 | Nasaf v Dinamo … | 1-0 |
| Oct 09 | Nasaf v Sogdiana | 1-1 |
| Oct 02 | Nasaf v Pakhtak… | 0-1 |
| Aug 07 | Nasaf v Dinamo … | 0-4 |
| May 12 | Nasaf v Sogdiana | 1-2 |
| May 07 | Nasaf v Pakhtak… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Nasaf v Sogdiana | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Nasaf v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 15, 2023 | Nasaf | 0-0 | Pakhtakor |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Pakhtakor | 0-1 | Nasaf |
| May 07, 2022 | Nasaf | 0-0 | Pakhtakor |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pakhtakor in strong form (4W in last 5)
Nasaf in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.