Primera Division · May 17, 2025 21:30
Aurora
PWR 41
Mictlán
PWR 44
Aurora
PWR 41
2 - 0
FT
Mictlán
PWR 44
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mictlán Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
30Attack39
62Defense56
Goals/G
0.91.1
Conc/G
1.11.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aurora
LLLWL
DOWN
Mictlán
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Auroravs
1.10
MictlánGoal Probability
Aurora
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Mictlán
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (19%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Aurora-1
Gap#2
Mictlán
WR 29% 23 pts
WR 37% 27 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 23 | 23 |
| Mictlán | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
Aurora
4.0%
| Mar 23 | Aurora v Mictlán | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Aurora v Mictlán | 0-1 |
| Nov 24 | Aurora v Mictlán | 2-0 |
| Nov 17 | Aurora v Mictlán | 4-3 |
| Oct 12 | Aurora v Mictlán | 0-1 |
| Aug 25 | Aurora v Mictlán | 2-3 |
| Apr 21 | Aurora v Mictlán | 1-0 |
| May 06 | Aurora v Marquen… | 0-0 |
| May 04 | Aurora v Marquen… | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | Aurora v Mixco | 0-1 |
Mictlán
16.0%
| Mar 23 | Mictlán v Aurora | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Mictlán v Aurora | 0-1 |
| Nov 24 | Mictlán v Aurora | 2-0 |
| Nov 17 | Mictlán v Aurora | 4-3 |
| Oct 12 | Mictlán v Aurora | 0-1 |
| Aug 25 | Mictlán v Aurora | 2-3 |
| Apr 21 | Mictlán v Aurora | 1-0 |
| May 01 | Mictlán v Marquen… | 3-1 |
| Apr 29 | Mictlán v Marquen… | 4-0 |
| Apr 13 | Mictlán v Mixco | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Mar 23, 2025 | Mictlán | 1-0 | Aurora |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Aurora | 0-1 | Mictlán |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mictlán | 2-0 | Aurora |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Aurora | 4-3 | Mictlán |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Aurora | 0-1 | Mictlán |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Mictlán | 2-3 | Aurora |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Mictlán | 1-0 | Aurora |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mictlán in strong form (4W in last 5)
Aurora struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.