Copa por MĂ©xico · Dec 31, 2022 02:00
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 44
Cruz Azul
PWR 62
Guadalajara Chivas
PWR 44
0 - 2
FT
Cruz Azul
PWR 62
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (50%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (1%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
3%
Under 2.5
97%
97%
BTTS
No
No 7%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
18Attack53
65Defense83
Goals/G
0.51.5
Conc/G
1.00.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guadalajara Ch…
WLDLD
STABLE
Cruz Azul
DLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Guadalajara Ch…vs
0.20
Cruz AzulGoal Probability
Guadalajara…
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Cruz Azul
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Guadalajara…-2
Gap#2
Cruz Azul
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 50% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara C… | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Cruz Azul | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Guadalajara Ch…
8.0%
| Dec 17 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 1-0 |
| Oct 02 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 2-1 |
| Sep 04 | Guadala… v Toluca | 0-0 |
| Aug 06 | Guadala… v Mazatlá… | 2-1 |
| Jul 31 | Guadala… v Pachuca | 0-0 |
| Jul 28 | Guadala… v Queréta… | 2-2 |
| Jul 10 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Jul 02 | Guadala… v FC Juar… | 0-0 |
| Apr 17 | Guadala… v Cruz Az… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Guadala… v Atletic… | 2-2 |
Cruz Azul
12.0%
| Dec 23 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 1-1 |
| Oct 16 | Cruz Az… v Monterr… | 3-0 |
| Oct 13 | Cruz Az… v Monterr… | 0-0 |
| Oct 09 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 02 | Cruz Az… v Guadala… | 2-1 |
| Sep 16 | Cruz Az… v León FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 03 | Cruz Az… v FC Juar… | 2-2 |
| Aug 14 | Cruz Az… v Toluca | 2-3 |
| Aug 07 | Cruz Az… v Santos … | 4-0 |
| Jul 27 | Cruz Az… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 02, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 2-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Guadalajara C… |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Guadalajara C… | 1-1 | Cruz Azul |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.