Ýokary Liga · Dec 14, 2025 14:00
Arkadag
PWR 90
PWR 90
4 - 1
FT
Balkan
PWR 32
PWR 32
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 3.9/g, Away concedes 1.8/g, expected 3.6 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arkadag Win
Score
7-1
Confidence
50%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
CORRECT 4-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
100Attack27
74Defense38
Goals/G
3.90.8
Conc/G
0.71.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arkadag
WWWWD
UP
Balkan
WLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
Arkadagvs
0.51
BalkanGoal Probability
Arkadag
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Balkan
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)4-0 (11%)1-0 (8%)5-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Arkadag+4
Gap#5
Balkan
WR 95% 118 pts
WR 30% 41 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkadag | 41 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 30 | 118 |
| Balkan | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 29 | 66 | 41 |
Arkadag
18.0%
| Dec 11 | Arkadag v Aşgabat | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | Arkadag v Al-Nassr | 2-0 |
| Dec 04 | Arkadag v Köpetda… | 0-3 |
| Nov 30 | Arkadag v Merw | 4-1 |
| Nov 26 | Arkadag v Andijan | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Arkadag v Şagadam | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Arkadag v Al Ahli… | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Arkadag v Ahal | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Arkadag v Al Ahli… | 2-2 |
| Oct 01 | Arkadag v Al Khal… | 2-0 |
Balkan
12.0%
| Dec 11 | Balkan v Köpetda… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Balkan v Ahal | 0-3 |
| Dec 04 | Balkan v Al-Nassr | 3-0 |
| Nov 30 | Balkan v Aşgabat | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Balkan v Merw | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Balkan v Şagadam | 0-0 |
| Sep 22 | Balkan v Al-Nassr | 0-3 |
| Sep 18 | Balkan v Köpetda… | 3-3 |
| Sep 13 | Balkan v Aşgabat | 1-2 |
| Aug 19 | Balkan v Merw | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Aug 11, 2025 | Balkan | 1-8 | Arkadag |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Balkan | 0-1 | Arkadag |
| Oct 07, 2024 | Arkadag | 5-1 | Balkan |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Arkadag | 5-1 | Balkan |
| May 04, 2024 | Balkan | 1-4 | Arkadag |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Arkadag | 5-0 | Balkan |
| Nov 06, 2023 | Balkan | 0-4 | Arkadag |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Balkan | 0-2 | Arkadag |
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Arkadag in strong form (4W in last 5)
Balkan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.