Ýokary Liga · Dec 15, 2025 14:00
Ahal
PWR 69
Aşgabat
PWR 24
Ahal
PWR 69
1 - 2
FT
Aşgabat
PWR 24
65%
21%
14%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ahal Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
68Attack30
74Defense17
Goals/G
2.00.9
Conc/G
0.82.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ahal
WWWWD
UP
Aşgabat
LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Ahalvs
0.20
AşgabatGoal Probability
Ahal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Aşgabat
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Ahal+4
Gap#6
Aşgabat
WR 66% 87 pts
WR 24% 30 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 41 | 27 | 6 | 8 | 80 | 31 | 87 |
| Aşgabat | 38 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 33 | 90 | 30 |
Ahal
18.0%
| Dec 11 | Ahal v Merw | 0-2 |
| Dec 07 | Ahal v Balkan | 0-3 |
| Dec 04 | Ahal v Merw | 4-0 |
| Dec 01 | Ahal v Şagadam | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Ahal v Al-Nassr | 3-3 |
| Nov 04 | Ahal v Sepahan… | 2-2 |
| Oct 29 | Ahal v Köpetda… | 1-4 |
| Oct 26 | Ahal v Arkadag | 0-1 |
| Oct 21 | Ahal v Sepahan… | 0-1 |
| Oct 16 | Ahal v Köpetda… | 2-0 |
Aşgabat
4.0%
| Dec 11 | Aşgabat v Arkadag | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Aşgabat v Balkan | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Aşgabat v Köpetda… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Aşgabat v Merw | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Aşgabat v Şagadam | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Aşgabat v Ahal | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Aşgabat v Al-Nassr | 0-5 |
| Sep 22 | Aşgabat v Şagadam | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Aşgabat v Balkan | 1-2 |
| Aug 19 | Aşgabat v Köpetda… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Aşgabat | 1-1 | Ahal |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Aşgabat | 1-4 | Ahal |
| Oct 03, 2024 | Aşgabat | 1-2 | Ahal |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Ahal | 3-0 | Aşgabat |
| May 22, 2024 | Aşgabat | 1-2 | Ahal |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ahal | 4-0 | Aşgabat |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Ahal | 2-1 | Aşgabat |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Aşgabat | 0-4 | Ahal |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ahal in strong form (4W in last 5)
Aşgabat struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.