Ýokary Liga · Dec 15, 2025 14:00
Al-Nassr
PWR 62
Al-Nassr
PWR 62
3 - 2
FT
Merw
PWR 20
PWR 20
69%
20%
11%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al-Nassr Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
CORRECT 3-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
66Attack20
60Defense30
Goals/G
1.90.6
Conc/G
1.12.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Nassr
WLWWW
STABLE
Merw
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Al-Nassrvs
0.29
MerwGoal Probability
Al-Nassr
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Merw
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (14%)4-0 (14%)5-0 (11%)2-0 (10%)1-0 (5%)3-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Al-Nassr+5
Gap#8
Merw
WR 60% 81 pts
WR 8% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | 42 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 79 | 48 | 81 |
| Merw | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 74 | 16 |
Al-Nassr
16.0%
| Dec 11 | Al-Nassr v Şagadam | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Al-Nassr v Arkadag | 2-0 |
| Dec 04 | Al-Nassr v Balkan | 3-0 |
| Nov 30 | Al-Nassr v Köpetda… | 1-5 |
| Nov 26 | Al-Nassr v Istiqlol | 0-4 |
| Nov 23 | Al-Nassr v Al Khal… | 4-1 |
| Nov 09 | Al-Nassr v Ahal | 3-3 |
| Nov 08 | Al-Nassr v Al Suqo… | 1-3 |
| Nov 05 | Al-Nassr v Goa | 4-0 |
| Nov 01 | Al-Nassr v Al-Fate… | 2-1 |
Merw
0.0%
| Dec 11 | Merw v Ahal | 0-2 |
| Dec 04 | Merw v Ahal | 4-0 |
| Nov 30 | Merw v Arkadag | 4-1 |
| Nov 08 | Merw v Balkan | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Merw v Aşgabat | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Merw v Köpetda… | 2-2 |
| Oct 17 | Merw v Şagadam | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Merw v Köpetda… | 3-1 |
| Sep 17 | Merw v Ahal | 0-0 |
| Sep 11 | Merw v Arkadag | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Aug 11, 2025 | Merw | 0-0 | Al-Nassr |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Merw | 0-1 | Al-Nassr |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Merw | 1-0 | Al-Nassr |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Al-Nassr | 5-0 | Merw |
| May 25, 2024 | Al-Nassr | 5-2 | Merw |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Merw | 0-1 | Al-Nassr |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Merw | 1-1 | Al-Nassr |
| Nov 09, 2023 | Al-Nassr | 1-0 | Merw |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Al-Nassr in strong form (4W in last 5)
Merw struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.